Vol. 25, No. 3 September 1999

Articles:

The EMU and the NAMU: What is the Case for North American Monetary Union?
Willem H. Buiter

The paper considers the pros and cons for Canada of monetary union between Canada and the United States.

The current Canadian monetary arrangements, a flexible exchange rate and an inflation target, are contrasted both with a unilateral adoption by Canada and the US dollar and with a full, formally symmetric monetary union. Macroeconomic transactions costs savings argue in favour of either form of monetary union. Seigniorage considerations argue against unilateral adoption of the US dollar, but in favour of a formally symmetric monetary union. Loss of the lender of last resort is a powerful argument against unilateral monetary union. The optimal currency area arguments (which concern the macroeconomic stabilization aspects of a permanently fixed exchange rate) probably favour either form of monetary union. The shock-absorber properties of a flexible exchange rate are dominated by the extraneous instability and excess volatility inherent in a market-determined exchange rate when financial markets are highly integrated. On balance, the economic arguments favour a full, formally symmetric monetary union but not the unilateral adoption of the US dollar. Because of the absence of any democratic political institutions spanning both Canada and the United States, the political arguments against any form of monetary union are overwhelming. Without a North American Political Union, the transfer of national sovereignty to a supranational central bank would lack political legitimacy. The lack of institutions for ensuring the political accountability of a North American Central Bank means that NAMU is unlikely to happen and that, if it were to happen, it is unlikely to survive.

The W. Irwin Gillespie Round Tables on Canadian Exchange Rate Policy

This roundtable set of comments on the Canadian Exchange Rate Policy follows from the panel presentations of the following commentators in the session on this topic at the Canadian Economics Association meetings in May at the University of Toronto. The session was organized by John Murray of the Bank of Canada, and chaired by William Watson of the Department of Economics, McGill University and Editor of Policy Options at the Institute for Research on Public Policy in Montreal. The editor of Canadian Public Policy wishes to thank the four commentators for providing their written remarks in timely fashion.

"Alternative North American Currency Arrangements: A Research Agenda"
Thomas J. Courchene

"Canadian Exchange Rate Policy"
John Crow

"The NAMU Debate"
Richard G. Harris

"Canada's Exchange Rate Options"
David Laidler

Tax Havens: Investment Distortions and Policy Options
David W. Conklin and Darroch (Rick) A. Robertson

Differences in business income tax rates among nations create the opportunity for tax minimization by diverting capital through lower tax jurisdictions. Furthermore, the opportunity to use a tax haven alters the relative rates of return between domestic and foreign investment. Financing reporting is often not sufficient to inform existing or potential stakeholders about the use of tax havens, limiting their ability to evaluate the risk of share price fluctuations in response to changes in tax regimes. For Canada, both national and international policy action is warranted in the context of these increasingly important issues.

Individualized Solutions to Environmental Problems: The Case of Automobile Pollution
Peter Urmetzer, Donald E. Blake and Neil Guppy

Combatting air pollution associated with extensive motor-vehicle use has become a major policy objective for cities around the world. Policy alternatives toward this end can be divided into two categories: incentives (e.g., improved public transportation) and disincentives (e.g.,environmental tax on gasoline). Based on survey data, this paper assesses which of these two types of policies is most likely to meet with public approval, and among which groups support is highest. Results show that drivers act like "free-riders," that is, they tend to support policies that socialize the costs of solutions rather than those that target individual drivers.

An Assessment of the Impact of Charging for Provincial Water Use Permits
Steven Renzetti and Diane Dupont

Population and income growth and global warming have contributed to a growing concern regarding the availability of potable water supplies in Canada. While a number of provinces have already introduced fees for the permits required for direct water withdrawals, others give these permits away gratis. The paper assesses the likely impacts of introducing a charge for water permits upon the water use and production costs of the major water-using sectors in Ontario. These impacts are quantified by using a numerical analysis based upon econometric models of water use. The analysis indicates that by charging for water withdrawal permits the government can encourage water conservation and bring in new revenues, while doing relatively little to raise the industry's costs.

Wage Opportunities for Visible Minorities in Canada
Derek Hum and Wayne Simpson

The wage opportunities afforded different racial groups vary considerably. We present a new analysis of wage differentials for different visible minority groups in Canada which also accounts for immigration background, using the first wave of the Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics. With the exception of Black men, we find no statistically significant wage disadvantage for visible minorities who are native born. It is primarily among immigrants that wage differentials for visible minority membership exist. Our results suggest that policies to achieve a colour-blind Canadian labour market may have to focus more on immigrant assistance and less on traditional employment equity legislation.

Canadian Retirement Savings Plans and the Foreign Property Rule
David Burgess and Joel Fried

This paper argues that the Foreign Property Rule (FPR), which limits the foreign content of a Registered Savings Plan to no more than 20 percent of book value, should be removed as quickly as possible. Given the globalization of financial markets, the FPR does not protect what it is meant to protect - a pool of savings for investment in Canada. Instead, it distorts the allocation of credit among firms, and forces agents to use more costly instruments - derivatives - to achieve desired foreign risk exposure. Since the FPR lowers the return on registered savings without benefiting any identifiable group, removing it would be an unequivocal gain to Canadians.

 


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