Vol. 28 No. 4 December 2002

Articles:

Colour My World: Have Earnings Gaps for Canadian-Born Ethnic Minorities Changed Over Time?
Krishna Pendakur and Ravi Pendakur

Using the census main bases from 1971 through 1996, we estimate earnings equations for Canadian-born female and male workers to assess the size of white­Aboriginal and white­visible minority earnings differentials in Canada. These databases allow us to focus on the small populations of Canadian-born visible minority and Aboriginal workers in Canada and on eight large Canadian metropolitan areas.

We also define quasi-cohorts to assess differences in age-earnings relationships, and examine differences across 26 subgroups within the white and visible minority categories. We find that differentials narrowed through the 1970s, were stable through the 1980s, and grew between 1991 and 1996.

Consumption and Income Inequality: The Case of Atlantic Canada from 1969­1996
Urvashi Dhawan-Biswal

In this paper we re-examine inequality in Canada with a comprehensive look at inequality trends in Atlantic Canada during the period 1969 to 1996. We use consumption expenditure as a measure of family well-being and compare it with the income-based measures of well-being. The results of this study reveal the following: (a) consumption distribution is more equal than the income distribution; (b) inequality trends are sensitive to how family resources are measured; (c) consumption inequality in Atlantic Canada fluctuated considerably until the mid-1980s; and (d) tax and transfer policies have played an important role in reducing income disparities in Atlantic Canada as well as in the rest of Canada. Overall, consumption inequality has continually been lower in Atlantic Canada in comparison to the rest of Canada. The paper also examines the role of key socio-demographic factors using a decomposition methodology.

The 2000 Canadian Election and Poll Reporting under the New Elections Act
Claire Durand

Just before the 2000 Canadian electoral campaign, a new law was passed regulating the publication of polls in the media during electoral campaigns. The law required newspapers to publish basic information about the way the polls they presented were conducted, and the wording of questions and the means by which a methodological report could be obtained. In addition, the law specified which information the methodological report must contain. This article examines the extent to which the law was complied with. The research shows that the first two points were not problematic, though sometimes the information was not easily available. However, methodological reports did not generally provide all the requested information. In particular, crucial information such as response rates, refusal rates and the sampling method used were rarely provided. It would also appear that compliance with the law was not verified. Elections Canada relied on the public to issue complaints, and the media relied on pollsters to provide the information. The study concludes first, that ambiguities in the Act concerning exactly what information is required should be clarified; second, that methodological information should be placed together in a separate and identified subsection, as was the case with most media reports; and third, that Elections Canada should provide a model of the detailed report (326-3) so that the media and pollsters all present the information in a standard, easy-to-compare fashion.

The Sequencing of Deficit Reduction and Disinflation in Canada
David W. Baar

The costs of not reducing the fiscal deficit prior to monetary disinflation are examined in relation to the Canadian experience under the 1984 to 1993 Mulroney governments. Counter-historical simulations using the FOCUS model show that if the 1986 budget had implemented an aggressive deficit reduction strategy comparable to what was finally implemented in the 1995 budget, the cost of lowering inflation would have been significantly reduced and the federal debt-to-GDP ratio would have been 30 percentage points lower.

How Has Inflation Changed in Canada? A Comparison of 1989­2001 to 1964­1988
David R. Johnson and Sebastian Gerlich

Has the inflation process fundamentally changed in Canada in the last decade? We compare the dynamics of inflation from 1964 through 1988 to the dynamics of inflation from 1989 to 2001. Although the average rate of inflation fell and inflation has become less variable since 1988, we conclude that the dynamics of inflation have not changed substantially. A negative output gap reduces inflation and the adjustment of expected inflation to lagged actual inflation continues to be slow. The sacrifice ratio, the short-run inflation-output trade-off remains similar. The makers of monetary policy in Canada face the same trade-offs before and after 1988.

Tradable Land-Use Rights for Cumulative Environmental Effects Management
Marian Weber and Wiktor Adamowicz

In this paper we introduce tradable land-use rights (TLRs) as a potential economic instrument for cumulative environmental effects management on public lands. TLRs allow the regulator to implement thresholds for habitat loss while maximizing the benefits of development. By allowing economic criteria to "drive" the configuration of development activities in a region, the risk of biodiversity loss may be reduced for a given cost. Alberta's Boreal Forest Natural Region is used as a case study for examining TLRs. Implementation issues, particularly those related to spatial heterogeneity and ecosystem dynamics, are discussed.

Paved with Good Intentions: Canada's Refugee Destining Policy and Paths of Secondary Migration
Laura Simich, Morton Beiser, and Farah Mawani

This article describes the results of a qualitative investigation completed for Citizenship and Immigration Canada into reasons for secondary migration of government-assisted refugees (GAR s) in Ontario. Over 100 officials, settlement counsellors, and GARs were interviewed about the migration process, beginning with overseas destining through arrival in Canada to the decision to relocate to Onta rio. The study revealed contradictions in destining policy and practice. The findings suggest the import ance of ensuring that refugees are able to make informed choices about the communities to which they are sent, and that they have meaningful social support in those receiving communities. This research on immigrant mobili ty has policy implications for the current discussions about geographic dispersal of immigrants and settlem ent outcomes.

 


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